First Wave vs Second Wave

The abrupt onset of the second wave of COVID-19 in India has taken the country by storm. With over 4,00,000 cases being reported daily, India has over 37,00,000 active cases as of 12, May 2021. This post aims to estimate the epidemiological parameters of COVID-19 epidemic in India during the first and second waves. As discussed in the previous post, India’s epidemic curve suggests an ongoing second wave of COVID-19 infections in the country.

Estimating Effective Reproduction Number for the COVID-19 Epidemic in India

COVID-19 Epidemic in India

The importance of epidemic curves in epidemiology in understanding and visualising the onset and progression of an epidemic is immense. It provides key insights in terms of the magnitude of the disease, the mode of transmission, trends over time and the incubation period. The below interactive plot is variant of the epidemic curve of COVID-19 in India. By default, the weekly average of daily cases, recovered and deaths is presented in the plot.